Which teams are the most likely to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 38? We’ve converted the clean sheet odds from bookies into easy-to-understand percentage probabilities to help you decide your transfers and team selection for GW38. Understanding which teams have the highest likelihood of keeping a clean sheet not only guides the selection of defenders but also gives an insight into which teams’ defences might be worth targeting with your attackers.
Clean Sheet Odds for Premier League GW38:
| Team | Clean Sheet Odds (%) |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 53 |
| Manchester City | 51 |
| Liverpool | 44 |
| Tottenham | 31 |
| Chelsea | 27 |
| Nottingham Forest | 20 |
| Crystal Palace | 20 |
| Fulham | 19 |
| Newcastle United | 19 |
| Brighton | 17 |
| Burnley | 17 |
| Luton | 17 |
| Aston Villa | 13 |
| Brentford | 13 |
| Manchester United | 10 |
| Bournemouth | 5 |
| Everton | 4 |
| Sheffield United | 4 |
| Wolves | 3 |
| West Ham United | 2 |
Understanding Odds Conversion:
It’s important to understand how bookmakers’ odds are converted into percentages, as these figures are used to gauge the likelihood of certain events, like clean sheets. For instance, if a team is given fractional odds of 5/4 for a clean sheet, this can be converted to a probability percentage using the formula:
Probability (%) = (Denominator / (Denominator + Numerator)) * 100
Applying this formula to 5/4 odds:
Numerator = 5
Denominator = 4
The calculation would be:
Probability (%) = (4 / (4 + 5)) * 100
= (4 / 9) * 100
≈ 44.44%
This means the team has approximately a 44.44% chance of keeping a clean sheet.
Frequently Asked Questions
How can these odds improve my FPL strategy?
Use the table to identify defenders and goalkeepers most likely to earn points for clean sheets.
How do I use clean sheet odds to identify weak defences to target with attackers?
Target attackers playing against teams with are likely to concede, as these teams are more likely to concede goals, potentially leading to higher points for your attackers.
Can these odds help in choosing my captain or vice-captain?
Absolutely. In addition to considering defenders and goalkeepers from teams with a high chance of keeping a clean sheet, you can also capitalise on weak defences by captaining attackers facing teams with low clean sheet odds, which can be a strategic move for maximising points.
Should I prioritise high clean sheet odds over player form?
Balance is key. While high clean sheet odds are important, player form shouldn’t be ignored. A blend of both can lead to a more robust team selection.